Tuesday, January 4, 2011

Double Digit Growth in Two Years, Okay; How About Quadruple Digit Growth? Roll on Facebook

Continued kudos to Nick Burcher, out of the UK, who has done the heavy lifting on the data mining every six months for the last three or four years on Facebook numbers by country (and willingly shares it).  His blog post today revealed the most recent Top 30 countries on Facebook in terms of members.  Interesting to note that in this year-end top 30 - four new countries have entered.  Compared to the numbers from Dec. 2009, the minimum totals required for entry into this top 30 club rose from 1.9 million (Thailand 12/09) to 3.27 million (Saudi Arabia).

The chart below shows in the top 30 only those countries who have seen quadruple digit growth over the last two years. These ten countries represent with few exceptions countries in the developing world that are markets with tremendous potential.

Rank
Country
Number of Facebook users Dec 31st 2008
Number of Facebook users Dec 31st 2009
Number of Facebook users Dec 31st 2010
12 month growth %
24 month growth %
2
Indonesia
897,040
14,681,580
32,129,460
118.8%
3481.7%
6
Philippines
390,700
8,387,560
18,901,900
125.4%
4738%
7
Mexico
1,440,640
6,505,040
18,488,700
184.2%
1183.4%
9
India
1,071,280
5,397,480
17,288,900
220.3%
1513.9%
16
Malaysia
850,420
3,975,640
9,544,580
140.1%
1022.3%
17
Brazil
209,460
2,413,900
8,821,880
265.5%
4111.7%
18
Taiwan
112,900
5,490,300
8,752,640
59.4%
7652.6%
21
Thailand
168,720
1,963,560
6,732,780
242.9%
3890.5%
23
Poland
194,820
1,609,100
4,540,320
182.2%
2230.5%
25
Peru
296,200
1,510,480
3,888,560
157.4%
1212.8%


What is even more telling about where this growth is coming from as it relates to international admissions needs, for these same 10 countries check out my own bit of number crunching below that reveals how significant the potential college age markets are in these growing nations.  With the exception of Brazil, in each of these countries, anywhere from near 63-76% of all Facebook users are in the college-age demographic.


Rank
Country
Number of Facebook users Dec 31st 2010
Number of FB users between 16-25 years old
% users 16-25 yrs. old
2
Indonesia
32,129,460
22,725,220
71%
6
Philippines
18,901,900
12,978,340
69%
7
Mexico
18,488,700
11,626,540
63%
9
India
17,288,900
13,132,400
76%
16
Malaysia
9,544,580
6,097,680
64%
17
Brazil
8,821,880
4,733,260
54%
18
Taiwan
8,752,640
5,578,520
64%
21
Thailand
6,732,780
4,523,980
67%
23
Poland
4,540,320
2,885,360
64%
25
Peru
3,888,560
2,500,000
64%


All this data from Nick Burcher and from my further drilling down, comes directly from Facebook's advertising module.  To paint a bit broader picture, if you were to take the top 25 countries on Facebook outside the U.S. and do a banner ad that displayed only on the profiles & pages of that same college age cohort (16-25 yr. olds) you would reach over 194 million potential students.


Still think Facebook is only a U.S. phenomenon?  I've realized in working with U.S. institutions that precious few have really embraced social media in their international student recruitment efforts.  In times when budgets are being tightened everywhere, the relatively cost-effective world of social media is wide open to the institution that knows how to best approach it.



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